Tropical system expected in the Gulf of Mexico

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TROPICAL UPDATE: Watching two areas of unsettled weather in the Atlantic.

Satellite data and surface observations indicated that a broad low-pressure area had formed over the Gulf of Honduras, and the associated precipitation activity was showing signs of organization.

A large ridge of high pressure located to the north of the system should guide it to the west-northwest over the next few days.

While the low still lacks a well-defined center of circulation, gradual development is expected Monday and Tuesday while it moves across the southern and central Gulf of Mexico. It's pretty disorganized right now but that will likely change as it makes progress over the Yucatan Peninsula and out into the south or central Gulf of Mexico on Monday. Hurricane Hunters will be investigating these 2 systems later today. 1.

"The system east of the Caribbean is nothing for us to worry about".

Exactly where the system fully organizes will determine its future track. All the moisture will keep the rain chance high for us through Wednesday.

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The storm system - identified as Potential Tropical Cyclone Two - has maximum sustained winds of about 40 miles per hour with stronger gusts, the NHC said.

"Before the storm develops, it's pretty hard to determine where the system will move", said Nikki Hathaway, meteorologist for the National Weather Service's Houston-Galveston office. 4-6 inches of rain appears likely across Acadiana with localized 6-8 inch totals possible from Tuesday through Friday.

This portion of the Atlantic Basin is an unusual spot for tropical development this early in the season.

The next named storm will be Bret, followed by Cindy.

Forecasters issued a tropical storm warning from the Pearl River on the Mississippi, Louisiana border to Intracoastal City, west of New Orleans.

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two has winds of 40 miles per hour - which is tropical storm force.

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